Russian Jets for Addis Ababa, Drone Charges from Khartoum, and a Flag Dispute at Moyale
Nexa Insight · Horn of Africa Weekly Update — Issue No. 15. Coverage period 28 October – 1 November 2026.
Ethiopia
Two Accounts of One Airport, a War of Words over Tigray, and a Warning to Asmara
Nexa Insight · Horn of Africa Weekly Update — Issue No. 14. Coverage period 21–27 October 2026.
Somaliland Builds on Its Opening, Abiy Takes Charge in Tigray, and a War for the Baidoa Road
Nexa Insight · Regional Analysis · Horn of Africa Weekly Update — Issue No. 13. Coverage period 16–20 October 2026.
Somaliland’s Biggest Door Yet, Abiy’s Win over the TPLF, and the Eritrea Standoff
Nexa Insight · Regional Analysis · Horn of Africa Weekly Update — Issue No. 12. Coverage period 12–15 October 2026.
Daily Briefing: Ethiopia and Eritrea Trade War Accusations as Sudan’s Arms Embargo Is Extended and Hormuz Attacks Hit a Wartime High
Ethiopia accused Eritrea of an “all-out invasion” of northern Ethiopia hours after retaking Tigray’s capital Mekelle from a rebel alliance, as the UN Security Council extended Sudan’s Darfur arms embargo by one month rather than expanding it nationwide, and tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz climbed to their highest sustained pace of the war. Verified developments, 8–10 October 2026.
Recognition, Cables and a Cairo Bloc: The Horn’s External Relations Are Being Rewritten
Nexa Insight · Regional Analysis · Horn of Africa Weekly Update — Issue No. 10. Coverage period 3–6 October 2026.
Daily Briefing: Ethiopia’s Army Retakes Mekelle, Yemen’s Government Storms the Red Sea Coast, and a Third US Carrier Nears Iran
Ethiopian forces retook Tigray’s capital Mekelle as the TPLF confirmed a withdrawal, Yemen’s government opened a major offensive claiming Bab al-Mandeb and Mocha while Houthi forces struck Saudi Arabia in retaliation, and a barrage of tanker attacks hit the Strait of Hormuz as Washington’s third carrier strike group steadied toward the Gulf. Verified developments, 3–6 October 2026.
A Diplomatic Rupture and a Returning Armada: Ethiopia and Eritrea Break Ties as Washington Masses Forces Over Iran
Nexa Insight · Regional Analysis · Horn of Africa Weekly Update — Issue No. 9. Coverage period 27 September–2 October 2026.
Daily Briefing: Ethiopia and Eritrea Break Ties, Washington Sends a Third Carrier Toward Iran, and Yemen’s Army Repels a Houthi Push
Ethiopia expelled Eritrea’s diplomats and closed its Asmara embassy after blasts rocked Addis Ababa and government forces pushed toward Mekelle, as Washington ordered a third carrier strike group and up to 10,000 more troops toward the Gulf and Yemen’s army said it repelled a major Houthi offensive south of Taiz. Verified developments, 1–2 October 2026.
Daily Briefing: A Hijacking Attempt Jolts a Dubai–Tel Aviv Flight, Washington Sanctions Iran’s Arms Network, and Ethiopia’s Front Lines Hold at Alamata
An Omani co-pilot’s attempted hijacking of a Dubai–Tel Aviv flydubai flight forced an emergency diversion to Saudi Arabia, as Washington sanctioned 13 entities tied to Iran’s weapons-procurement network and Iran weighed a Qatar-mediated truce proposal. Ethiopia’s pro-government forces held their claimed gains at Alamata. Verified developments, 30 September–1 October 2026.